Sunday, October 18, 2009
U.S Dollar
USDAED 3.6731 0.0001 0.0027 3.673 3.6731 3.6727 3.6731 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:30 GMT
USDARS 3.674 -0.006 -0.163 3.68 3.68 3.674 3.674 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:30 GMT
USDBRL 2.1935 0 0 2.1935 2.1935 2.177 2.1935 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:30 GMT
USDCLP 576.8 -2.7 -0.4659 579.5 579.5 576.8 576.8 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 03:18 GMT
USDCNY 6.8334 -0.0001 -0.0015 6.8335 6.8353 6.8284 6.8334 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:32 GMT
USDCZK 20.696 0.183 0.8921 20.513 20.76 20.47 20.696 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:36 GMT
USDEGP 5.6335 0 0 5.6345 5.6345 5.632 5.6335 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 06:37 GMT
USDHKD 7.7501 0.0001 0.0013 7.75 7.7506 7.7465 7.7501 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:34 GMT
USDHUF 228.22 1.67 0.7371 226.53 229.67 226.15 228.22 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:36 GMT
USDIDR 10690 -60 -0.5581 10750 10750 10690 10690 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 03:15 GMT
USDILS 4.1992 0.0372 0.8938 4.1617 4.2063 4.1582 4.1992 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:35 GMT
USDINR 49.965 0.185 0.3716 49.86 50.1 49.52 49.965 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:36 GMT
USDIRR 9978 0 0 9978 9978 9975 9978 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:30 GMT
USDISK 128.24 1.41 1.1117 128.24 128.24 128.24 128.24 Fri, Apr 17 2009, 11:03 GMT
USDJOD 0.708 0.001 0.1414 0.707 0.709 0.7041 0.708 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:30 GMT
USDKRW 1335 7.9 0.5953 1320 1347.5 1320 1335 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:20 GMT
USDKWD 0.29165 -0.00032 -0.1096 0.29174 0.29232 0.29125 0.29165 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:30 GMT
USDMXN 13.1592 0.0306 0.2331 13.09 13.1666 13.09 13.1592 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:23 GMT
USDMYR 3.6305 0.014 0.3871 3.6205 3.6405 3.618 3.6305 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:33 GMT
USDPHP 48.07 0.41 0.8603 47.65 48.15 47.65 48.07 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:35 GMT
USDPKR 80.53 0.62 0.7759 80.4 80.56 79.98 80.53 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:20 GMT
USDPLN 3.3429 0.0456 1.3829 3.297 3.356 3.2962 3.3429 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:36 GMT
USDRUB 33.542 0.092 0.275 33.37 33.5552 33.37 33.542 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:30 GMT
USDSAR 3.75 -0.0002 -0.0053 3.7503 3.7504 3.74 3.75 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:36 GMT
USDSGD 1.5074 0.0068 0.4532 1.5006 1.509 1.5002 1.5074 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:36 GMT
USDTHB 35.54 0.1 0.2822 35.45 35.66 35.34 35.54 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:35 GMT
USDTRY 1.6175 0.0007 0.0433 1.6168 1.622 1.6066 1.6175 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:36 GMT
USDTWD 33.834 0.024 0.071 33.76 33.897 33.722 33.834 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:33 GMT
USDZAR 9.0088 0.0533 0.5952 8.9302 9.0423 8.9165 9.0088 Mon, Apr 20 2009, 07:36 GMT
Solution by InteractiveData Data Source: InteractiveData
The decline in the Japanese
The yen rose against all major currencies, while the dollar advanced against the high-yielders only (remaining stable against the British pound, which is no longer a risk currency). While the corporate reports in U.S. help some of their stocks to grow, the world is more skeptical about the growth with the Singapore and China expected to report economy cooldown.
The analysts say that the only real economy improvement currently happening is the U.S. housing sector recovering and the trade balance deficit decreasing. Other economies are yet to report declines in almost all sectors. Those reports will spur further yen’s growth, which may be accompanied by the U.S. dollar rising against some currencies.
EUR/JPY fell from 133.75 to 132.29 as of 9:46 GMT today. USD/JPY declined from 100.07 to 99.42, while GBP/JPY went down from 148.57 to 148.11 today.
These results destroyed the rumors
After the bullish rally which occurred during the past few days, analysts said that a correction process for the AUD and NZD could be expected, mainly taking into consideration the weakened U.S. retail sales data. Being the news from U.S. not the only factor that forced the Aussie and the kiwi down, commodity prices also showed a fall, creating all the necessary conditions for profiting with the major currencies traded with the AUD and NZD.
The AUD/USD traded at 0.7199, falling more than 80 pips in the intraday comparison. The NZD fell even more against the USD, being the pair traded at 0.5782 from yesterday’s level of 0.5880. The NZD/JPY was traded at 57.29, a significant decline from 58.65.
Great Britain pound
For a period of more than 3 years, the euro remained in advantage against the pound in the currency options market. This tendency has been reversed, as traders are now paying 0.25 percentage-point for one-week call options on the pound if compared to puts. Call options are those where traders have the right to buy an asset, while put options oppositely, give the right to sell assets. The turning point in the EUR/GBP market occurred on April 3, and, since April 6, the market favored the pound in every day but one.
The dollar collapsed
GBP Recovers from Jobs
The rise of the yen
In the intraday chart comparison, the USD/JPY was traded at 99.25 from 98.45. The EUR/JPY was traded at 131.05 from 130.45. The same movement was perceived with the NZD/JPY, rising from 56.95 to 57.55.
Economists affirm
The GBP/USD was traded at 1.4935 from 1.4873. In the European markets the EUR/GBP was traded at 0.8815 falling from 0.8875.
Weekly jobless claims
Risk Aversion benefits USD & JPY
RBA Cuts Benchmark Lending Rate
From minus 35 in March
Risk Aversion Props USD, JPY
Our Forex Trading goal
There are many trading methods that exist to help you succeed as a trader, but there also many factors you need to consider before you execute your trades. Each news event moves differently. What we do is provide you with techniques and systems on how to trade these major news events. How can you maximize your gains and limit your loses? Not easily done, unless you truly know what you are doing.
Forex News Trader will teach you the moves you need to make. In volatile or fast moving markets, such as news trading events, it is imperative to be completely focused and on top of your game. You need to constantly learn new styles and techniques if you want to stay ahead.
Whether you profit, or end up like the other 95% of traders, depends on your ability, knowledge, patience, and how the market moves that day. With such a large world market there are numerous opportunities to pull profits on a consistent basis.
business to Forex
Doesn’t using a middle man normally cost you more? Here’s how it works. When you open an account through an IB you still see the same spreads and pricing at the dealer of your choice. You receive the same level of great customer service from your dealer, plus you have the personalized customer service touch of the IB. The IB is only compensated by the dealing firm through the bid ask spread. So it costs you nothing to work with them. The dealing firm makes a little bit les, but I am sure you can live with that, right?
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You are going to trade anyway. Why not enhance your chances of success with the IB volume rebate? For more detailed information about this Forex trading rebate, please fill out the form.
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Forex Trading Signals
Forex Live on the News - This is a news trading service hosted by Dustin Pass. A well known trader that manages accounts and offers signal service for all kinds of traders. News trading can be difficult, but Dustin seems to find a way to trade successfully.
USD Edges Higher on Data
New update
Participants from 9 various countries
The winners of a trader
Forex News Trader
Forex News Trader was developed to give traders the edge they need to learn how to trade based on economic news events from around the world. The same edge the institutions use to make hundreds of millions and even billions of dollars in profit each year.
Forex News Trading will provide you with the information you need to give you a true insider’s understanding of the Forex markets. You will feel confident in your trading, and never doubt your trades again.
Does this mean you will win every trade? No, of course not, but armed with the knowledge Forex News Trader will provide you, you will never be afraid to take that next trade - as the odds will now be tipped in your favor.
Each and every month there are a tremendous number of news releases for the Off Exchange Retail Foreign Currency Market (FOREX). Many of these events and announcements move the markets considerably. But how do you properly capitalize on these moves? Get it wrong and you could be wiped out. Get it right and you can be in a small group of trading elite, consistently pulling pips out of the market each and every week.
This section is updated
This page contains daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly and full year views on the three major currency pairs of EUR/USD, USD/JPY and EUR/JPY.
Contains a full range of views of currencies against the Yen - USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, AUD, CAD and SGD.
A variety of European cross rates and major currencies against the Euro can be found on this page.
Comprehensive analysis of GBP against the USD, EUR, JPY, CHF and AUD over the full range of periods.
This page has a wide range of Asian and Pacific currencies against the USD, GBP, JPY and each other.
This final page contains views on markets other than Foreign Exchange
Two principles to trading
Now, with the assistance of Aspen Trading Group’s FX Risk / Position Size Calculator you can immediately determine the correct amount of forex lots to trade each time while also knowing your total risk exposure as a percentage of your portfolio.
Simply plug in your starting capital, amount you wish to risk per trade as a percentage of your capital and your stop loss price. Instantly the results will be displayed.
"Why do I need to adjust my position size, I normally trade the same amount each time?"
Your performance will vary significantly, for better or worse, if you do not risk a consistent amount on each trade. If a trade has a large stop loss and you trade the same size as you would if the stop loss was far less, the amount of risk you incur increases greatly. Let's look at an example.
A sampling of 100 trades from our FX Alert Service provides a great example. Trader A took all 100 trades and adjusted the size of each trade to risk roughly 1.5% of their account versus Trader B who traded 5 FX-mini lots throughout. Based on a starting equity of $20,000, look at the difference:
Total Returns:
Trader A 38.2%
Trader B 14.8%
Same trades; dramatically different results.
Forex Money Management Calculator
Depending on your account (equity, currency of the account) the pair you trade and the risk you accept on one trade, the programme will calculate the exact position sizing you have to use for your trade. Many brokers don't allow the possibility of trading with variable contract sizes so that's the reason why we've added the number of contracts you have to trade in the table. The risk and leverage are updated for each case.
Forex Money Management Calculator
Depending on your account (equity, currency of the account) the pair you trade and the risk you accept on one trade, the programme will calculate the exact position sizing you have to use for your trade. Many brokers don't allow the possibility of trading with variable contract sizes so that's the reason why we've added the number of contracts you have to trade in the table. The risk and leverage are updated for each case.
Related Articles
The Pound also saw weakness
The dollar saw across the board gains during overnight trading as global growth fears were fueled by China’s weak GDP figures. U.S. markets shook off similar concerns yesterday but a source of recent optimism has been the expectations that China would rebound faster than originally expected. Now that this has been brought onto question focus will turn to the prospect of a U.S. recovery, which today’s economic docket will shed some light as we will see housing, employment and manufacturing data cross the wires.
Housing starts are expected
The US dollar remains
Percent annual pace during March
He Euro has steadily declined
Signs of weakness
Ahead of the data release
Bearish Scenario:If we see substantially deeper available liquidity on the Offer side of the market, this tells us that major price providers in the market are looking to sell the CHF against the US Dollar. Considering that close to 60% of all FX market volume is cleared through just six top banks, we see it prudent to be on the same side of the trade as major institutions and will favor a bearish bias on USDCHF ahead of the data release.
Once these conditions
Conversely, as the region is expected to face its worst economic downturn in over a quarter century, fading demands for employment paired with increased risks for deflation is likely to weigh on households, and private-sector spending is likely to fall further over the medium-term as growth prospects deteriorate at a record pace. As a result, an in-line print, or a drop of more than 0.2% in sales would lead us to hold a bearish outlook for the swissie, and we will follow the same strategy for a long dollar-franc trade as the short position mentioned above, just in reverse.
Retail sales in Switzerland
Private spending in Switzerland
Futures Magazine
Mr. Laidi provides expert commentary on CNBC-TV, Bloomberg TV, Reuters TV and PBS' Nightly Business Report. His insights have also appeared in the Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal, Barron's, the New York Times, CBS Marketwatch, TheStreet.com, Futures Magazine, Global Finance and a host of other international publications.
The dollar was slightly
Unexpectedly improved
Geopolitical events
About the Writer
Medium Term Outlook
Up-to-the minute update around the clock
Provide users with our views and recommendations at that moment
A unique 20-30 pips range forecast for close monitoring of the intraday movements
Aim at quick 30-45 pips profits trades throughout the day for intra-day traders Daily Strategies
Updated 3 times a day with interim up-to-the minute special updates
Provide users with our views and recommendations at that moment
Aim at 60 - 90 pips overnight trades for position traders Sound Alert
Sound alert is now available in AceTrader. You don't need to be 'glued' to the screen any more. Whenever there is a change in Strategy/Entry Level, Position, Objective or Stop-Loss, you'll hear a beep sound. You can focus on something else and check us out only when you hear the alert. Weekly Strategies
Updated every Monday to give a forecast and trading recommendations for the week.
Specially designed for position traders looking for bigger moves of 100 points or more. Medium Term Outlook
Monthly forecast
Gives an overall market overview of one month and slightly longer Daily Technical Outlook
Provides detailed analysis of USD/YEN, EUR/USD, USD/CHF and GBP/USD every day, highlighting important support and resistance levels, retracement and projection analysis, and technical indicators used in forming our trading recommendations.
With this, you'll know what is likely to happen during the day and what to expect next when a certain support or resistance is broken. Elliott Wave Analysis
Bi-weekly detailed explanation of Elliott wave count of the selected major currencies
Includes Larger Degree Wave Count
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Full coverage of the marketAs long as the market is open, we're there providing insights to you.
Real-time updatesForeign exchange is a fast market, with real-time being the vital ingredient for success; analysis from an hour ago can sometimes become useless.
Multi time-frame recommendationsTo profit from the market, one needs to know the short term, medium term and long term trend. Providing intra-day, daily, weekly and medium term analysis and recommendations is our unique feature.
Our key strengths
We provide genuine real-time forex market commentaries and trading recommendations to both Reuters and Internet users. Led by world renowned technical analyst, Wilson Leung, we have a team of 7 analysts monitoring the market and updating our recommendations and commentaries 24 hours a day. Wilson Leung has over 20 years of experience in forex market. He is a regular speaker at Technical Analysis seminars all over the world and has conducted over 100 such seminars with Reuters for forex traders in Asia, Continental and Eastern Europe, Scandinavia, CIS and the Middle East. Our key strengths
Good mood Stochastic
Most charts in different time formats, may reflect the conflicting information about the vibrations. Literate traders use these differences to their advantage, rather than remain in doubt. They wait for Stochastics to a larger and a smaller scale will be synchronously specify the maximum or minimum values and then move in the opposite direction. This is a strong signal that the market is going to fluctuations in the opposite direction.
Another way to manage the contradictory signals over possible long-term moving average cost. We recommend that you install Exponential Moving averages with a period of 200 bars and 50 bars in all the intra-day charts. These averages reflect the trend of development of new variations, when market-based instruments back to the very low levels.
Usually, the price bars on the same session will be to retreat back to the exponential moving average with a period of 50 bars, at the same time at another session reached its exponential moving average with a period of 200 bars. This convergence predicts strong turnaround, especially when combined with the convergence Stochastics. Add to this the successful testing of the opening price or the range of the first hour, and you get a very good opportunity for trade. These signals can be coordinated very effectively used to buy or sell at the best prices of the day.
This schedule would be a great deal
Dorsi: This schedule would be a great deal when he reached base. This would be determined by the movement of 20 cells in one continuous direction. From this level to 20 or more cells down we can go a long way in the first broadside of the three cells in the deployment of stop-order at the new foundation. If the position will be closed to stop the order, the schedule will start to create a first signal from the base of the purchase, and this will be your next logical entry point. Because the schedule is the size of a turn in the three cells to change the column, the turn in three cells will be the first sign that shoppers again have the situation under control.
Kofnas: So, after a great column you can expect at least three cells and enters the fourth? This is the rule?
Dorsi: None. Point of action would have been spread in the three cells. Once the third cell, and has achieved a turn, begins operation. When the input made, immediately put a stop order. Let us go back to the original rule - go a long way only if the price is above trend line.
Kofnas: So, the currency trader will look at the trend lines, support and resistance, and must be capable of a technical discipline that is not normally associated with currency traders?
Dorsi: Yes. Currency traders are usually focused on the fundamental factors. In this case, the action takes place without the technical tools. The method should be logical, well-adjusted and based on the irrefutable law of supply and demand.
Kofnas: Let's look at the schedule for the Swiss franc to the size of a cell 25 points and the value of turn 2 cells.
Figure 3. The first signal is selling at 1.6825. Positions are added at each new breakthrough, where "0" is lower than the previous one.
Dorsi: Magnificent descending trend. The first signal to the sale of permits to enter the trend at 1.6825. Looks so that each subsequent sale of a signal added to one or more lots with the movement of stop-orders down to each subsequent sell signal.
This is an excellent example of how to use the trend of most of the building positions as the market moves in your direction. We could start with a lot, but now we will have four lots of stop order for all four lots at 1.6825.
Fujimaki Japan expects a resumption of growth stocks and the fall of the yen
RBS sees in euro / dollar potential to reduce
Tilt the market at certain times during the day adds a final dimension to the intra-day fluctuations in mechanics. In most sessions, the market has developed from the opening kick in the first half hour of trade. The main strength or weakness of the movement, which is often followed by, dictate the nature and magnitude of price fluctuations throughout the day.
The market often shows a different turn in about 90 minutes until tender. This fluctuation can be quickly dissipated, or cause a stampede last hour in one direction or another.
Euro / dollar remains under pressure, and the RBS analysts have warned that if the holes will support at $ 1.2960, the couple may continue to fall to $ 1.2765. Meanwhile, in the long term, the bank had forecast Bear. According to strategists RBS, may test a minimum of $ 1.2460, which was achieved in March, but for a full refutation of bovine turn last month, monthly closing below $ 1.3258. Resistance is in the area of $ 1.3103, $ 1.3253 and $ 1.3440, togdakak levels of support are around $ 1.2952, and near $ 1.2867 and $ 1.2765.
Commerzbank sees no reason for the growth of yenThe decline of Japanese retail sales in March did not have a significant impact on the yen
Blue line on the chart represent
Closing balance, which is usually referred to, is the equality of price movement from point C to point D, and the price movement from point A to point B. I also include the Fibonacci ratio of 1.618 for this part of the structure of a butterfly. It should also look for price fluctuations, which occurs from point C and ends at point D, that it was equal to 1.00 - 1.618 of the length variations from point A to point B.
The latter characteristic of Fibonacci, which we consider as the price movement from point A to point B refers to the price movement from point C to point D. The graph above, we measured the movement from point A to point B, and designed the levels of 1.00 and 1.618 of the value of the point C. Here we can see that the price movement has made a definite shift between these two levels designed.
The model Butterflies Gartli
In the above graph, we have three blue horizontal lines, which represent the levels of recovery 0.50, 0.618 and 0.786 from the full price fluctuations from point X to point A. Remember that we use the ratio of 0.50 and 0.618 for the movement from point A to point B. Also, we use levels of 0.618 and 0.786 for the variations from point C to point D. Thus, we measure two different price fluctuations. Note that the fluctuation from point A to point B does not come very close to the rehabilitation of 0.50 - 0.618. This differs from the price movement between point C and point D, which fits very closely to the goal of 0,618.
At this schedule, we are restoring the levels of 0.786 and 0.618 of price fluctuations from point A to point B. Please note that we have a price movement that is able to exceed this level and close above 0,786. However, the market is unable to support the crossing of this level, and the next day rose below it.
On to the schedule, we can see the Fibonacci projection at 1.272 and 1.618, which correspond to the price fluctuations from point B to point C. Notice how the price movement almost stops at the level of 1.618.
While earning enough to last for fun
A business is not thought to address?
No, I deposit a businessman, I have some grip, but big business, it requires great knowledge, composure, and ... not really mine. And then this fact must be dealt himself. So is not the case, that gave the money people put in his place, and they you have done and bring profit. At best, the return is not all due to your earnings, and in the worst case, will say that everything just collapsed. We must learn to control everything himself. Here's a creative business - it is about me. I'm interested in, not poor, and for the moment all I am satisfied.
How do you feel about this "American" history, when people from the very beginning makes a fortune?
I do not belong to it. I belong to people who are 20 years lupili "at one point and did not earn more than his salary. The greater part of my life, I lived in the Soviet country, where everything was "pribito for nails, and your destiny, all was clear until the end of life: school, institute, an engineer and so on. Talked about money in one word: "not enough" and "give a loan to pay." I am still doing my love and Soviet traditions still dream of earning. I'm not evil, but the feeling that you can relax and do not jerk, "I do not attend, I still dream.
When you've earned their first money
And you zaviduete people kotorve earn more than you?
White envy envy when I see that the people of their efforts is seeking something bigger than me. And then, I'm not jealous, but equal to it, I want to do something better in their situation. People are earning lot of money - people with talent and power of thought. Business - it is hard work, requiring great effort. There can be jealousy, but respect.
Is it easy to earn money in Russia?
Not more difficult than in Europe. There is still a niche, but rather at the secondary level, where you can earn, at a high level, probably has not. Although ... if a person is talented, literacy, it is quite possible that all will turn out. I've been endowed with a talent for communication, someone has the talent to turn 1 in the ruble of a hundred dollars. Only in the way! And the situation is now such a fragile, that money can not keep with them, you must kudanibud they invest.
And where would you recommend to invest
I can recommend only one to have a profession, to believe in yourself and work! If you love something, than doing - it is ideal! The biggest value - it is time to hold it must be interesting, and, eventually, the money provides only a possibility. Still need to understand the true value of things, I, for example, never buy a madly expensive car, if I'm not using it, and we, the Russians have a very characteristic feature - show off.
You lucky man?
In the life of me lucky. Right now, for example, I have a wonderful mood, I have a wonderful wife, a young, fervently loving my little daughter - this is the most important, and the rest - things. (Pauza.) ... But the money needed, so I stick!
So then did little luck?
In addition to luck, you need to learn to do everything very well, professionally, with talent, then all the money earned, and you just reach. If you'll stand the professionalism of the situation, then all will turn out. But this need to learn, one must work hard, have a goal, talent. Do all quality, with dignity, then come and be themselves. I know this from experience.
Final design
Although the examples that were cited above, refer to the bull's model Butterflies Gartli, the exact opposite is true for option bear model. All that need be done - is turn on the first example of Figure 1 to obtain disservice model shown above.
Butterfly Gartli is another way in which we can use the Fibonacci ratios to measure the visual model.
In subsequent issues of the journal will be considered other types of models Butterflies Gartli .
Patronage Rothschild
Since World War II, the Rothschild family tried to create a public myth about its own insignificance. The family spent substantial sums to create the image of a family of wealthy, but quiet "gentlemen", some of whom prefer to do fine French wines, some of which have dedicated themselves to philanthropy. They were involved in the creation of Israel and other high-profile projects, but in addition to such public events, were less plausible case that the family prefers to keep away from its headquarters in London and hold over their less well-known branches, such as "Zurich Rothschild Bank AG "and" Rothschild Italia of Milan "- the bank of Soros partner Richard Ketsa.
According to former CIA officer familiar with the case of Soros, the "Quantum Fund" to accumulate capital (over $ 10 billion), with the help of a powerful group of "silent" investors who have allowed Soros to build capital to disrupt the financial stability in Europe in September 1992.
Soros is one of several important tools for economic and financial control "Club Islands. Because of its connection with their interests had not been previously highlighted, it serves a very useful function for the oligarchy, as in 1992 and 1993, when he began his assault on the European exchange rate mechanism.
The secret fund "Quantum Fund NV"
Instead of using the powers of the State to achieve its geopolitical objectives, has been developed by the network to stay in the private financial interests, tied to the old aristocratic oligarchy of western Europe. Center of the "Club of Islands" is the financial center - London. Soros is one of those in the Middle Ages were called - Hofjuden, "court Jews", which was deployed aristocratic families. The most important of such "Jews who are not Jews" are a Rothschild, who started his career thanks to Soros.
Soros is American only on the passport. He - the global financial operator, who happens falls in New York, simply because there is money. Soros speculates in world financial markets through its offshore company "Quantum Fund NV", a private investment fund. His hedge fund reportedly manages some $ 11-14 billion of investors' funds, the most prominent of whom, according to Soros, is the British Queen Elizabeth.
"Quantum Fund" is registered offshore in the Netherlands Antilles in the Caribbean Sea. This helps to avoid taxes and conceal the true nature of his investors and what he is doing with their money.
Soros has taken care that none of the 99 frequent investors who participate in its various funds was not an American. Under U.S. law on securities, hedge funds should not include more than 99 wealthy investors, the so-called "sophisticated investors". In creating its investment company as an offshore hedge fund, Soros avoids public research.
Information on the person
It is clear that Soros and the Rothschild chose not to show their relationship, nor does it advertise its links to London, the British Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Israel and American influential circles. Therefore, a myth, that Soros is the sole financial "genius" who through their talent detect future changes in the markets, has become one of the most successful speculators. According to those who did business with him, Soros never makes important steps without a substantial investment information on the person.
The board of director
Frequent business partner of Soros in various speculative matters, including the manipulation of the gold in 1993., It's not related to the "Quantum Fund" directly, is an Anglo-French speculator Sir James Goldsmith, a family cousin Rotshildov.
From the first days when Soros created his own investment fund in 1969. He was bound to its success to its relation to the banking network of family Rotshildov. Soros worked in New York in the 1960's in a small private bank was closely associated with the Rothschild, namely, "Arnhold and S. Bleichroeder. Inc.", Bank name, representing the interests of Rotshilda in Germany during the time of Bismarck. To this day, "A. and S. Bleichroeder. Inc." remains the primary holder, along with the "Citibank", the funds "Quantum Fund" Soros. George K. Karlvays associated with the scandalously famous "Rothschild Bank AG" in Zurich, gave Soros of seed capital and led the first investors in his "Quantum Fund".
The man who broke the Bank of England
After the crisis of the European exchange rate mechanism in September 1992., When the Bank of England was forced to abandon efforts to stabilize the pound sterling, from the shadow of a little financial shape, saying that he personally made a $ 1 billion in speculation against the British pound. Speculators were Hungarian origin George Soros, who wait the war in Hungary under false papers. Soros left Hungary after the war, and received U.S. citizenship after several years in London. Today, Soros is based in New York, but it says little about who he was and what he said.
After his impressive claims to possess "Midas touch", Soros has allowed public use of his name in an apparent attempt to influence the world financial markets.
Soros loudly announced in March 1993. That the price of gold should rise sharply: he said he had just received "inside information" that China is going to buy a huge kolichetvo gold for its rapidly growing economy. Soros was able to raise the demand for buying gold, which allowed prices to rise by more than 20% over four months to the highest level since 1991. And that is typical for Soros, when prostachki scrambled to buy, pushing prices higher, Soros and his friend Sir James Goldsmith secretly began selling their gold with a large profit.
Then, in early June 1993. Soros announced his intention to cause a sale of German government bonds in favor of French. In an open letter to the editor of the London "Times" Anatole Kaletskomu, Soros said "Down with the D-mark!" At various times, Soros attacked the currency of Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia and Mexico, entering the newly opened financial markets which have little experience with foreign investors, which allows it alone, with large cash resources to manipulate the currency. Soros is beginning to market to buy assets in the local market, while the other is that naive to assume that he knows something they do not know. As in the case of gold, when the smaller investors begin to follow Soros, pushing prices up, Soros begins to sell, with its 40% or 100% profit. He then proceeds to other markets, and often, and to a new country in search of another goal for his speculations. This technique is called "hit and run."
LMT recommended
Another method you can use to lock in profits is to set the trailing stop to the value of the take profit. This way once price reaches the recommended take profit level it will lock your profit it and from that point on any pips you get icing on the cake.
I’ll keep you guys up-to-date on how this system performs.
Forex Killer
Forex Stealth
Choosing Trading Tools
Choosing a currency pair and finding its active trading hours
Currencies have their own “characters” or behavior. Some are extremely active like GBP/USD or GBP/CHF, some are quite consistent and steady trending like EUR/JPY or EUR/GBP.
Different indicator set-ups, different values may be used to achieve best results for each currency pairAlso a good idea is to find the most active hours for a chosen currency pair. Those hours of currency highest activity are easy to spot on the chart and should be used to get maximum profits during the trading session.
My First LMT Forex Formula Trade
Hello forex guys and gals. I hope you’ve had a profitable week. As you may or may not know, I got me a copy of Dean Saunders’s popular LMT Forex Formula manual trading system and I’ve been testing it for a few days now. I patiently awaited a trading signal and at last it has come - horay!
LMT Forex
Here is the trading signal I got with LMT Forex:
2009.05.28 04:00:16 LMT 1.5 EURUSD,H4: Alert: LMT Signal on EURUSD
2009.05.28 04:00:16 LMT 1.5 EURUSD,H4: [L.M.T] : Alert On 2009.05.28 08:00
And here is a screenshot of the trade in action! (still ongoing by the way):
*Click on the image to see it in full detail*
Eastern Europe
Business Soros with Sir James and Lord Goldsmitom Rotshildom approached him to circle Tetcher wing British establishment. Helping to break the UK from the European exchange rate mechanism in September 1992. and has earned at more than $ 1 billion, Soros helped the long-term goal of the wing Tetcher in reducing the economic stability of continental Europe. Starting with the 1904g. This is a British geopolitical strategy - to oppose, by all means is, any economic ties between the economies of continental Europe, especially with regard to the relationship of Germany with Russia and the countries of Eastern Europe.
Efficient use of time
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"Gazprom Neft" has almost tripled reduced quarterly net income on RSA
Forex Fundamental Analysis
Here we look at some of the largest Forex fundamental factors that play a role in the movement of currencies:
Forex Fundamental
The Japanese economy prorochat collapse
The Government of Japan has sharply worsened the forecast of economic development: the new estimate for the current fiscal year, which ends in March 2010 on, Japan's GDP dropped to 3.3%, and from April to June will be the collapse of entire 14% annualized.
But even those gray figures such government can provide only a plan to stimulate the economy, valued at 122 billion euros. The Cabinet had already approved.
Minus the discount rate
Ideal discount rate in the current circumstances the U.S. economy is minus 5%. That was reported by The Financial Times referring to the report analysts the U.S. Federal Reserve. Analysis of the Fed is on the so-called Taylor rule, which takes into account the level of inflation and unemployment in the country.
Under existing U.S. laws, the refinancing rate the Fed can not be less than 0%. Currently, the refinancing rate the Fed is between 0% to 0.25%.
Since the beginning of the crisis several times the Fed lowering the discount rate, allowing, thus, the money banks are cheaper and cheaper.
U.S. GDP in the fourth quarter of 2008 decreased by 6.3 percent, while the first quarter of 2009 is expected to be negative 4,5-5 per cent.
Unemployment in the United States in March 2009 reached 8.5 percent, which is the worst rate in the last 27 years. In doing so, for the first time in 54 years in the country recorded an annual deflation.
Euro is back again at 1.30.
Yesterday a pair of euro-dollar continued to fall. Exactly at 19.00 Moscow time the euro has gone down from 1.3125, and only an hour showed mark 1.2997. And no news at this time does not go, sensible explanations for this movement is not. Analytical tape all Lada continue to talk about the impact of epidemic influenza virus pork to markets. Indeed, in an atmosphere of a news vacuum more than simply refer to that. With regard to yesterday's motion, it seems, just in the market simultaneously was pour a large amount of the sale, which led to an unusually sharp decline in function and foot below the 1.31. Technically, the Euro-dollar was now in a triangle, pennant with the center at around 1.31. Support it passes through a minimum of 5 March, and April 21-22, and resistance - to the maximum shown, after the Fed meeting on March 19. Most likely, the euro, ottolknuvshis of Resistance triangle will soon go up again. The fact that the euro yesterday failed dramatically down, said that the market is ready to go up rather than down. In recent weeks we have often seen the reverse - the euro is growing rapidly, but then slowly and steadily declining and updates minima. Yesterday's sharp drop in euro said that worked the major foot and then down the market there is no point in going. Over the past two weeks, the foot, below the 1.31 is being twice already. Levels below 1.30 as well protorgovyvalis in previous months. At the same time, the area 1.30-1.45 protorgovan over the past year, much worse. From 1.60 euros last year, fell to 1.23 quickly, without protorgovki. In December, the euro quickly reached 1.47, then quickly fell in January. Only after the last Fed decision euro slightly protorgoval range 1.30-1.35, stay here for several weeks. We expect that the pair will soon protorgovyvat a range of 1.35-1.40
United Kingdom, Ministry of Finance: Low risk of deflation in Britain
The likelihood that the UK will be included in the deflationary cycle is low, said a representative of the British Treasury. David Ramsden, Head of macroeconomic and fiscal policy in the Treasury, said that the effect of weakening the pound "softened" deflationary pressure from lower wages in the UK. "We must remain vigilant to the risk, but I still think that the UK is low probability of materializing," - he said the legislators at a meeting of the Ad Hoc Committee.
UK retail price index for the year - the broadest measure of price pressures - fell in March for the first time almost 50 years. However, the consumer price index surprised economists, falling moderately in recent months to 2.9% in March, above the target level of 2% of the Bank of England
On the European front
Formula
(Note: If smoothing is not required (only the price), the period moving average should be set to 1. In this case, the smoothed price is the same as the price.)
The band regression = regression (smoothed price, X) + Slope * Y, where
Z - period moving average
X - the period of regression
Y - the forecast period (if not necessarily equal to 0)
Slope - slope of the regression line
The upper band = band regression + standard deviation (smoothed price, X) * N, where
N - standard deviation (s)
X - the period of regression
Lower band = band regression - standard deviation (smoothed price, X) * N, where
N - standard deviation (s)
X - the period of regression
Oscillator Linear Regression = (Price - Stripe regression / standard deviation (smoothed price, X), where X - the period of regression
Euro remains equally possible
Oscillator Linear regression
The above graph shows the daily candle "Intel Corporation" (INTC). Prognostic line linear regression (LRF) is depicted in black, the upper band of 2 standard deviations, shown in blue, and the lower band shows a red color.
Precautionary entrance
Very dangerous way
Persecution of the momentum may well work if the trader chooses to deal wisely and pay close attention to two important rules. First, always set your acceptable risks before trading. Choose a fixed percentage of the loss or use the graphical model in a shorter time scale for the output signal, if the market goes against you. Secondly, make sure that the broader market picture implies adequate support for your strategy.
Although data on the consumption
Broke above 18-week trend line, euro accumulated technical capacity to move to follow the objectives, namely, the $ 1.2450-00, which limited the level of recovery in 61.8% of the movement of $ 1.2926-1.1759. But we feel that the inevitable setback caused by the fundamental data to prevent net increase for this purpose and will consolidate in the area of $ 1.24-25.
Overly luxurious
Login to the narrow range
Enthusiasm to bring you profit
Move in this direction.
Buy on break up or sale, with breaking down is the only method of timing entry into the market, used by most traders. Unfortunately, this is also the "best" way out of the market. This technique is simple entrance. The price breaks through support or resistance level, and you go to open position. And then you pray that the price continued to move in this direction.
Graphic model of accumulation
The use of graphics programs
Saturday, October 17, 2009
Analysts have a lot to learn from meteorologists
Of the economists came to worthless. Meteorologists, at least, those who at least cares a little weather in the UK do not trust the method of extrapolation. They just know that even if the sun shines today, tomorrow may still be rainy and windy. Certainly some of what analysts have learned to meteorologists, in particular, they adjust the data, taking into account seasonal factors: but sometimes does seem that they make their forecasts almost blindly. How many economists correctly predicted a turning point in economic activity? I suspect that a bit. They also believe that the economy is capable of self-regulation. Of course, the economic processes, sometimes out of control, but most usually a long time back in a stable condition. In fact, all mathematical models used by analysts to predict the dynamics of the national economy is based on the judgment. A year ago, when Britain's economy has teetered on the brink of a credit crisis, the Ministry of Finance analysts still believe that 2009 will be better than 2008, in which they predicted economic growth of 2% (real growth rate of only 0.7%). Analysts Ministry has acknowledged that 2008 was not a normal year for the country, but they said "... the stability of the UK economy demonstrates the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies and the benefits of flexible and open labor markets and capital, goods and services. Therefore, projected after 2008 to a normalization of the situation in the financial market and adapt to new market conditions, you will begin to rise in GDP. " According to British analysts' forecasts, economic growth in 2009 amount to 2.25-2.75%. Meanwhile, independent analysts are more cautious in their forecasts, expecting growth to only 1.9%. Now, nine months later, it became clear that economic growth in Britain will fall by 3-4%. In general, the entire community of analysts badly mistaken, but the MoF has bypassed all, promising a significant improvement in 2009. At the other end of London, on Trednidl Street analysts have done their work a little better. The Bank of England, unlike the Ministry of Finance does not publish a detailed economic forecasts, but still matches the data in reference to quarterly inflation. In February 2008, analysts predicted the Bank of England in the second half of 2008 economic growth will fall sharply (to 1.5%), but, then, in 2009, restored in him peculiar V-shaped manner. It should be noted that the forecast allows for the possibility of a recession, but few analysts believed the Bank of England that recession at this stage is a real threat.
Three months later, the Bank of England has revised the short-term prognosis for the worse: now acknowledged the existence of a threat of a recession, but it is still not part of the "main scenario" the Bank. Moreover, CB is still seen the chances of economic recovery in 2009. The Bank of England was able to recognize that a recession is still a "core script" of events in August last year, but by that time the UK has seen a crisis. This is more like an attempt to get a finger into the sky, rather than on accurate forecasts. Another forecast of Ministry of Finance was published last week, when the Minister announced his budget. Yes, he acknowledged that the situation is deteriorating, however, with the expressed hope for a noticeable improvement in the future. What, in general, quite obviously, because even after the Great Depression, a period of recovery. Ideally, analysts should work much better, but, alas ... Very few were smart or lucky enough to make the correct forecast for the past year and a half. What is taught their mistakes?
The first mistake - this is arrogance. This is a very reliable last year's budget shows. The Ministry of Finance is inclined to believe the view, first expressed in a report on the budget for 2006 that the British economy can grow steadily to 2.75% per year. The longer the recession will last, the less plausible is that assessment of capacity growth. Meanwhile, the Ministry of Finance piously believed that the economy has become much more flexible and that "the result is macroeconomic stability, providing a foundation to combat the current crisis. These findings appear to be totally wrong: the main problem of instability and financial system, rather than the flexibility of the economy, labor, goods and services. The second error - it is shortsighted and lack of planning. Perhaps, analysts and are not able to accurately predict the onset of a recession, but this does not mean that it did not occur. Instead, it is a sign of great instability, and forecasts to the contrary - no more than wishful thinking. The main rule of money: "a little good", thus it is important to use large cash surplus in the favorable economic situation. However, until now, only a few countries, the government has managed to come to such results ( basically, it was the Government who are interested in winning the next election). So, when the economy suddenly gives a crash, the financial situation, often can not count on strong support.
Third mistake - this is wishful thinking. When the economy is "stray from the path, of course, want to believe that the Government simply click your fingers, and all problems will be solved. It would not. The economic crisis is usually a snow dump on the head (otherwise, the prediction would be a matter of very light). This, in turn, means that the policy in a hurry to seek appropriate ways to begin to address the problem. A year and a half ago, for example, only one offered to make the quantitative easing. Recession in the UK are rare, but tend to be protracted, despite the praises flexible economy. Since the mid 70's and until now, a recession (defined by long periods of lower quarterly values of GDP), continued from five to nine quarters. Subsequent recovery (the time that took a return to the previous peak of activity) lasted from five to ten quarters. Even when activity is restored, begins a long time working on the final normalization of the situation. The fourth problem - the indifference of the rest of the world. Governments and heads of central banks like to pretend that they are all under control. Of course, something they can change, but, ultimately, the UK economy is dependent on changes in the global economy. Meteorologists know that the events that took place in another part of the world can affect the weather conditions in the UK. Analysts, however, to think, perhaps, that the island of Great Britain, not only geographically but also economically. Let's hope that the experience of the past year and a half, finally to make and believe the opposite.
BNP Paribas count on continued fall of the dollar / yen
After yesterday's fall of the dollar / yen managed to recover some losses and now holds around Y96.66, and BNP Paribas currency strategists do not exclude the possibility of new attempts at growth in the near future. However, they are reminded that the couple had recently Breaks the trend line and return to it would probably be perceived the market as an opportunity for the resumption of sales. The bank also expects that, while the fall in equity markets has been favorable for the Japanese currency, even when they are stabilized, yen will continue to be in demand, given the weakening of the impact of changes in appetite for risk to the currency, which is now increasingly dependent on investment flow of real bills. At BNP Paribas believes that the Japanese currency, there is still potential for growth in the short and medium term, and expect support for resumption of testing in the area of Y95.95, while break below would signal the continuation of motion in the direction of Y92.40, which will contribute to improving interest of Japanese investors in the domestic securities.